Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.133851 0.157542 0.184028 0.215809 0.252891 0.294769 0.345641
2025-11-02 0.095249 0.124740 0.161200 0.209501 0.271726 0.349111 0.452589
2025-11-09 0.071908 0.102019 0.142153 0.199381 0.278712 0.384614 0.536548
2025-11-16 0.059301 0.089858 0.133174 0.198770 0.295286 0.431744 0.638963
2025-11-23 0.048816 0.078374 0.122602 0.193192 0.302594 0.465170 0.724495
2025-11-30 0.042925 0.072555 0.119067 0.196841 0.323026 0.518945 0.845239
2025-12-07 0.037452 0.066387 0.113862 0.196718 0.336921 0.563509 0.956048
2025-12-14 0.032166 0.059627 0.106594 0.191922 0.342097 0.594049 1.046837
2025-12-21 0.028457 0.055001 0.102193 0.191192 0.353643 0.635789 1.160318
2025-12-28 0.026402 0.053048 0.102150 0.198007 0.378963 0.703424 1.325706
2026-01-04 0.024824 0.051743 0.103056 0.206548 0.408203 0.780764 1.516478
2026-01-11 0.023032 0.049740 0.102342 0.211813 0.431707 0.849792 1.698823
2026-01-18 0.020706 0.046486 0.099107 0.212431 0.447733 0.909286 1.875480
2026-01-25 0.017986 0.042004 0.092840 0.206179 0.449528 0.942116 2.005284
2026-02-01 0.015351 0.037268 0.085337 0.196211 0.442189 0.955617 2.097262
2026-02-08 0.013824 0.034802 0.082366 0.195609 0.454619 1.010889 2.282450
2026-02-15 0.012150 0.031710 0.077538 0.190117 0.455460 1.041535 2.418075
2026-02-22 0.011275 0.030429 0.076698 0.193710 0.477281 1.120071 2.668136
2026-03-01 0.010274 0.028661 0.074443 0.193588 0.490360 1.180460 2.883900
2026-03-08 0.009141 0.026359 0.070544 0.188867 0.491741 1.214106 3.041278
2026-03-15 0.008338 0.024820 0.068351 0.188148 0.502862 1.271770 3.262309
2026-03-22 0.007955 0.024390 0.068983 0.194858 0.533628 1.380035 3.618860
2026-03-29 0.007665 0.024187 0.070190 0.203267 0.569851 1.505662 4.032646